Fundamental Dynamic of China's Rise In the Power Cycle And the Challenge of Systemic Stability

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Phd student- university of shahid beheshti, Tehran, Iran

2 Professor, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Shahid Beheshti University,Tehran,Iran

Abstract

The economic growth of Asia Pacific region since the late years of twentieth century, has led to a shift in distribution of geostrategic power in the world, and in economic dynamics from the Atlantic to the Pacific Ocean. In the meantime, the rise of China and its increasing power in various areas has become one of the most important phenomena of international politics in recent decades, and has created various debates on its effects on the post-Cold War international order. One of the theoretical approaches that seems to provide a good understanding of this topic is power cycle theory. In the framework of this approach, the question is now how can the future trend of China's rise in the power cycle and its consequences on international order and stability be evaluated? The research hypothesis is that China's growth rate in relative power, as it enters the first inflection point in the power cycle, will soon experience a declining trend in the face of systemic constraints, and by creating a huge shock to its expectations for future security and role, it will potentially challenge the existing world order. Emphasizing the importance of the bilateral relations between China and US in terms of the scope of its effects on international system, this paper will investigate the indicators, and challenges of China's uprising in different domains as well as the factors affecting the stability of the international order, and its future prospects.

Keywords

References

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World Politics
Volume 8, Issue 4 - Serial Number 30
February 2020
Pages 185-220

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