Analysis of trends in the Islamic Republic of Iran based on future studies

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 PhD in Political Science, Islamic Issues, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran.

2 Assistant Professor and Faculty Member, Department of Political Science, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran

3 Assistant Professor and Faculty Member, Department of Theology and Political Science, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran.

Abstract

For the past four decades, the Islamic Republic of Iran, due to the intervention of supra-regional and regional powers, as well as historical internal social, economic and political problems, has been involved in issues in the context of historical social trends and challenges arising from the emergence of hegemonic powers. The Western interventionist is understandable. The purpose of this study is to explain and draw different scenarios for the future of social, economic and political trends of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The leading article seeks to answer the question of what future can be drawn for the social, economic and political trends of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the descriptive-analytical method, emphasizing the futures research approach and using data collection and analysis. Thus, after examining social, economic and political issues and trends and using three categories of scenarios (short-term, medium-term and long-term), eleven scenarios were set, each of which points to trends from angles that in the short-term perspective, The scenarios of "continuation of the current stable situation and authority", "struggle of arrogant powers for a global consensus against Iran" are more probable, and in the medium and long term, the failure of the scenarios designed against the Islamic Republic of Iran is explained. 

Keywords

References

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World Politics
Volume 10, Issue 3 - Serial Number 37
December 2021
Pages 219-247

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