واکاوی نقش کنگره در سیاست خارجی آمریکا در قبال ایران در دوره جو بایدن

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسنده

دانش آموخته دکتری گروه علوم سیاسی دانشگاه تهران و مدیر گروه سیاست خارجی مرکز پژوهش های مجلس شورای اسلامی، تهران، ایران

چکیده

کنگره یکصدوهفدهم آمریکا با برتری شکننده دمکرات‌ها فعالیت خود را از ژانویه 2021 آغاز کرد. پیروزی بایدن در انتخابات و تمایل وی برای احیای برجام، فعالیت‌های کنگره آمریکا به ویژه جمهوری‌خواهان را تحت تأثیر قرار داد. با عنایت به نقش کلیدی کنگره در شکل‌دهی به سیاست ایالات‌متحده به ویژه از طریق دادن مجوز برای ایجاد زیرساخت‌های قانونی و نظارت بر اجرای قانون و عملکرد دولت، سؤال اصلی این پژوهش این است که فعالیت‌های تقنینی کنگره یکصدوهفدهم آمریکا چه تأثیری بر سیاست خارجی این کشور علیه جمهوری اسلامی ایران داشته است؟ بررسی‌های صورت گرفته بر مبنای رویکرد واقع‌گرایی نوکلاسیک با در نظر گرفتن نقش نهادهای داخلی در سیاست خارجی در کنار عوامل سطح نظام بین‌الملل حاکی از آن است که کنگره تحت تأثیر لابی‌های صهیونیستی، تلاش فراوانی را برای ایجاد موانع در مسیر بازگشت آمریکا به برجام ساماندهی کردند. علاوه بر این، در مواردی همچون اعمال محدودیت‌ها برای برنامه موشکی و پهپادی و فعالیت‌های منطقه‌ای و مکلف کردن دولت به ارائه گزارش‌های نظارتی از فعالیت‌های مذکور در قوانین بودجه‌ای سالیانه، دفاع از معترضان ایرانی و محکوم کردن نحوه برخورد دولت ایران با آنها، جلوگیری از فروش نفت ایران با توجه به ظرفیت‌های ایجاد شده پس از تحریم‌های روسیه و درخواست از دولت آمریکا برای آزادی زندانیان سیاسی، کنگره تلاش نمود با تصویب قوانین و پیشنهاد‌هایی در لوایح بودجه بر سیاست خارجی این کشور اثرگذار باشد.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Analyzing the Role of Congress in the United States Foreign Policy During the Biden Administration

نویسنده [English]

  • Mostafa Jahanbakhsh
PhD in Political Science, Tehran University, Director of Department of Foreign Policy, Islamic Council Research Center, Tehran, Iran.
چکیده [English]

The Democratic Party won a narrow victory in January 2021, forming the 117th US Congress. Joe Biden's success in the presidential election and his desire to revive JCPOA profoundly influenced the US Congress, especially the Republicans. Considering the Congress's vital role in the formation of foreign policy through permissions to establish legal infrastructure, regulations, and supervisory practices, this study explored how exactly the legislative practices of the 117th US Congress affected the US foreign policy orientation against the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both domestic institutions and international factors affect the formation of the US foreign policy. Based on a Neo-Classical Realist approach, this study demonstrated that the 117th Congress, influenced by the Zionist lobby, has extensively attempted to counteract the Biden Administration's efforts to revive the JCPOA. Moreover, Congress pushed for restrictions on Iran's missile program, drone advancements, and regional presence by introducing obligatory reporting processes for the aforementioned purposes in Congressional bills and regulations. Accordingly, the US Congress has actively advocated for the prevention of Iranian oil trade, despite the opportunities created after the Russian sanctions. Similarly, the US Congress has used its authority to support Iranian demonstrators, denounce how they were treated by Iran's government, and put pressure on the US government to free political prisoners.

Introduction

The US Congress plays a major role in the formation of the US foreign policy approach to Iran based on its legislative and supervisory power over the US administration. The US Congress has built the necessary legal framework and authorized measures over time to successfully impose sanctions on Iran. In addition to passing anti-Iranian laws like ISA, INARA, and KATSA, it has greatly influenced diplomatic relations with Iran. The Congress has also funded and authorized US businesses to target Iran's political and economic interests. The US Congress can easily take advantage of legislative measures and budget allocation procedures to impose stringent restrictions on operations of the US administration, including foreign policy affairs. This study aims to investigate the role of the 117th US Congress and its effect on the US foreign policy orientation to the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Theoretical Framework

Unlike the neorealist approach, the neoclassical approach considers different factors from several layers and is not restricted to international constituents. Rather, the neoclassical perspective acknowledges that a country's foreign policy may be influenced and redirected by its relationship with other states and societies, strategic culture, the personal opinions of its leaders, and domestic institutions. Considering the multiplicity of influential factors, it can be concluded that decision-making is a complicated process that is rigorously constrained and strongly influenced by domestic politics. Accordingly, neoclassical realism prescribes revisiting two different analytical layers; while the international layer is considered an analytical priority, the domestic environment gains momentum as an intervening variable. Instead of proposing a general theory of international politics, neoclassical realism intends to investigate the foreign policy behaviors of given states. Focusing on state interventions and mediations in foreign policy, neoclassical realism views states as vertical entities where systemic factors play an important role in shaping foreign policy behaviors. Building on neoclassical realism, this study investigates the legislative role of the 117th US Congress and its effect on the US foreign policy orientation toward the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Methodology

This descriptive-analytical study employed the above-mentioned theoretical framework to investigate the role of American domestic institutions in the US foreign policy. Thus, the main research question was how the legislative conduct of the 117th US Congress influenced the foreign policy orientation of the Biden Administration toward the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Results & Discussion

Legislative measures of the US Congress account for the most important factor affecting the US foreign policy by generating executive limits, commitments, and requirements in the foreign policy exercises. The US Congress can direct the foreign policy approaches of the US government by ratifying specific acts. Additionally, Congress has the constitutional authority to oversee the US government's executive branch, including its foreign policy decisions. The 117th Congress has passed 54 bills and 23 resolutions against the Islamic Republic of Iran. Among them, 36 bills and 16 resolutions were passed by the House of Representatives and 18 bills and 7 resolutions were passed by the Senate. The party-wise distribution of the bills and resolutions denotes a substantial difference; the Republicans have actively organized 48 bills and 13 resolutions against Iran, whereas the Democrats were the main organizers of 8 bills and 10 resolutions. Four broad topics have been covered by these US Congress legislative measures, i.e., “preventing Biden’s return to JCPOA”, “Iranian missile and drone programs”, “regional influence of the Islamic Republic of Iran”, and “human rights”. Statistically, Congress has passed 19 bills and 9 resolutions to prevent Biden’s possible return to JCPOA, 6 bills and 3 resolutions to contain Iranian missile and drone programs, 11 bills and 2 resolutions to hinder the growing regional influence of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and 4 bills and 8 resolutions regarding the subjects of human rights. Considering the extensive efforts of the Israeli lobby against Iran, the study found a bipartisan consensus on all topics, except the JCPOA revival.

Conclusions & Suggestions

Based on neoclassical realism, the US Congress is one of the most important domestic political institutions affecting the US foreign policy. Congress has always taken advantage of its supervisory and legislative authority to influence foreign policy execution and decision-making processes. In particular, the 117th Congress has introduced new restrictions on four key areas—nuclear activities, drones and missiles, regional influence, and human rights—in an effort to sway US foreign policy toward Iran. The main focus of anti-Iranian efforts in the 117th Congress has been to prevent the Biden administration from potentially reviving the JCPOA. Consequently, the 117th Congress sought to adopt several legislative measures to redirect the Biden administration’s foreign policy approach to JCPOA. First, any agreement with Iran was declared to be contingent upon US Congress approval. Second, Congress restricted the authority of the US president in lifting or wavering sanctions to diminish the imagined interest of Iran in the talks and possible revival of the JCPOA. Furthermore, the 117th Congress set a series of obligations for the Biden administration to impose several arms embargos, develop joint air defense systems with regional allies against Iranian missile and drone capabilities, encounter the regional influence of the Islamic Republic, and support internal unrest and demonstrations.
 

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • US Congress
  • Islamic Republic of Iran
  • Foreign Policy
  • Sanctions
Tabeafshar, S., & Barzegar, K. (2016). Neoclassical Realism and American Foreign Policy; A Theoretical Analysis of Understanding US Foreign Policy. Political and International Approaches, 8(1), 42-70.]In Persian[.
Delavarpour Aghdam, M., & Deghani Firoozabadi, S. J. (2018). Sanctions Policy Estimation of the US Congress in Post-JCPOA. Political Strategic Studies, 7(26), 121-139.]In Persian[.
Jansiz, A., & Ejazi, E. (2021). The Analysis of the Relationship between Iran and the United States from the Perspective of Threat Balance (2016-2021). World Politics, 10(1), 163-196. doi: 10.22124/wp.2021.19011.2775.]In Persian[.
Ejazi, E., Ghorbani, A., Simbar, R., & Jansiz, A. (2019). The Impact of US Congress on American Foreign Policy Towards Iran (2005-2017). Political and International Approaches, 9(3), 58-83.]In Persian[.
Jahanbakhsh, M. (2020). Studying the activities of the 116th Congress and its role in the US foreign policy towards Iran. Foreign Relations, 12(2), 285-306.]In Persian[.
Javadi Arjmand, M (2014) The Role of Congress in U.S. Foreign Policy toward Iran:Analysis of Congressional Sanctions, Iranian Review of Foreign Affairs, Vol. 5, No.2, Summer 2014, pp. 29-57.]In Persian[.
ArmyRecognition (2022). Qatar purchases Fixed Site-Low, Slow, Small Unmanned Aircraft System Integrated Defeat System FS-LIDS worth USD 1 billion. Retrieved from: https://www.armyrecognition.com/defense_news_november_2022_global_security_army_industry/qatar_purchases_fixed_site-low_slow_small_unmanned_aircraft_system_integrated_defeat_system_fs-lids_worth_usd_1_billion.html
Bergman, R., & Kingsley, P. (2022). Israel Works With Arab Allies to Down Drones, in Sign of Growing Ties. (nytimes)
 Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/13/world/middleeast/israel-arab-allies-drones-biden.html
Carter, R. (2020). Making US Foreign Policy: The Essentials. Boulder: Lynne Rienner Publishers.
Collins-Chase, E. (2022). U.S. Sanctions: Legislation in the 117th Congress. Congressional Research Service. doi:https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/R47344.pdf
Tenney, C (2023) H.Con.Res.7 - Condemning the Iranian regime's human rights abuses against the brave women and men of Iran peacefully demonstrating in more than 133 cities. Retrieved from Congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-concurrent-resolution/7
Banks, J (2021) H.R.2718 - Maximum Pressure Act, Retrieved from congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/2718
McCaul, M (2022) H.R.6089 - Stop Iranian Drones Act. Retrieved from https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/6089
Jeffries, H(2022) H.R.2471 - Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2022. Retrieved from congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/2471
DeFazio, P (2022) H.R.7776 - James M. Inhofe National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2023. Retrieved from Congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/7776/text
Deutch, T (2022) H.Res.744 - Condemning the Government of Iran's state-sponsored persecution of its Baha'i minority and its continued violation of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights. Retrieved from congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-resolution/744
Hawkins, J. (2022). Impact of Congressional Mid-Terms on US Foreign Policy. paris: Institut de Relations Internationales et Stratégiques(IRIS). Retrieved from https://www.iris-france.org/168977-impact-of-congressional-mid-terms-on-us-foreign-policy/
Humud, C., & Thomas, C. (2023). Iran: Background and U.S. Policy. Congressional Research Service. Retrieved from https://sgp.fas.org/crs/mideast/R47321.pdf
Lord, J. (2022). The greatest obstacle to returning to the Iran deal isn’t Iran—it’s Congress. Retrieved from Center for a New American Security:                           https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/the-greatest-obstacle-to-returning-to-the-iran-deal-isnt-iran-its-congress
Ripsman, N. (2017). Neoclassical Realism. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of International Studies. Retrieved from                      https://oxfordre.com/internationalstudies/view/10.1093/acrefore/9780190846626.001.0001/acrefore-9780190846626-e-36
Rose, G. (1998). Neoclassical Realism and Theories of Foreign Policy. World Politics, 51(1), 144-172. doi:10.1017/S0043887100007814
Hern, K (2023) RSC priorities pass in the NDAA. Retrieved from RSC: https://rsc-hern.house.gov/news/press-releases/rsc-priorities-pass-ndaa
Scott, R (2021) S.1605 - National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2022. Retrieved from congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/1605
Padilla, A(2022) S.2607 - Iran Hostages Congressional Gold Medal Act Retrieved from congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/2607
Markey, E (2020) S.3314 - Iran Diplomacy Act of 2020. Retrieved from congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/senate-bill/3314
Markey, E (2021) S.434 - Iran Diplomacy Act of 2021. Retrieved from congress.gov: https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/434
Satter, M. (2023) Iran threat prods DOD to seek more security for former officials. Retrieved from Roll Call: https://rollcall.com/2023/07/11/iran-threat-prods-dod-to-seek-more-security-for-former-officials/
Sennett, E. (2022). Biden's Iran nuclear deal obstacles extend beyond Tehran. Retrieved from The National: https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/us-news/2022/09/01/bidens-iran-nuclear-deal-obstacles-extend-beyond-tehran/
Szuba, J. (2023) CENTCOM eyeing artificial intelligence to counter Iran’s drones, says Kurilla. (Al-Monitor) Retrieved from                                     
https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2023/04/centcom-eyeing-artificial-intelligence-counter-irans-drones-says-kurilla
Us.Senate (2023) Types of Legislation. Retrieved from senate.gov: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/common/briefing/leg_laws_acts.htm
Vile, M. (2007). Politics in the USA. New York: Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group.