چشم انداز استراتژی آبی ترکیه و پیامد های سیاسی_ امنیتی آن بر جمهوری اسلامی ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 کارشناسی ارشد روابط بین الملل، گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشکده علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه رازی، کرمانشاه، ایران

2 استادیار گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه رازی، کرمانشاه، ایران.

چکیده

آب در کنار نفت در حیاط امنیتی و سیاسی منطقه غرب آسیا نقش و اهمیتی کلیدی دارد به گونه ای که مناسبات سیاسی و امنیتی بین کشورهای این منطقه را تحت تاثیر جدی خود قرار داده است .دجله وفرات به عنوان یکی از پر تنش ترین حوزه های آبریز فرامرزی دنیا و بزرگترین حوضه آبریز فرامرزی در منطقه غرب آسیا از درهم‌تنیدگی های متعدد سیاسی تاریخی امنیتی اقتصادی اجتماعی و ژئوپلیتیکی با آب برخوردار است.هدف ازنگارش این پژوهش بررسی وضعیت هیدروپلیتیک حوضه آبریزفرامرزی ترکیه و بررسی اقدامات کشورهای ساحلی برای تسلط بر منابع مشترک این کشور با تمرکز بر پروژه ها و سدسازی های جنوب شرقی ترکیه موسوم به پروژه گاپ است. . نتایج تحقیق حاکی از آن است که سازه های آبی ترکیه در در بعد زیست محیطی سبب کاهش جریان آب وردی به مناطق شمال غربی کشور و افزایش تولید ریزگرد ها در مناطق غربی و جنوب غربی کشورمان خواهد شد. در بعد اجتماعی مهاجرت از مناطق شمال غربی، غربی و جنوب غربی به فلات مرکزی افزایش خواهد یافت و مناطق مرزی به تدریج خالی از سکنه خواهد شد. آلودگی های زیست محیطی و پیامد های اقتصادی و اجتماعی نظیر گسترش فقر، حاشیه نشینی، معضلات بهداشتی، به تدریج زمینه لازم را برای فعالیت های تجزیه طلبانه و جنبش های قومی و قبیله ای فراهم می نماید که نتیجه آن گسترش روز افزون چالش ها و مسائل نوین امنیتی در کشور است.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

The perspective of Türkiye's water strategy and its political-security consequences Islamic Republic of Iran

نویسندگان [English]

  • Hadis Bahrami 1
  • Farzad Rostami 2
1 MA in International Relations, Department of Political Science, Faculty of Social Sciences, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran.
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Faculty of Social Sciences, Razi University, Kermanshah.Iran.
چکیده [English]

Along with oil, water has a key role and importance in the security and political yard of the West Asian region, in such a way that it has seriously affected the political and security relations between the countries of this region. The results of the research indicate that Turkey's water structures in the environmental dimension will reduce the flow of incoming water to the northwestern regions and increase the production of fine dust in the western and southwestern regions of our country. In the social dimension, migration from the northwestern and southwestern regions to the central plateau will increase and the border regions will gradually become uninhabited. Environmental pollution and economic and social consequences, such as the spread of poverty, marginalization, and health problems, gradually provide the necessary ground for separatist activities and ethnic and tribal movements, which results in the ever-increasing spread of challenges. and new security issues in the country.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Keywords: transboundary waters
  • hydropolitics
  • Tigris and Euphrates
  • GAP plan
  • national security of Iran
Paknejad, H. R, and Faraji Rad A(2008) "Hydropeltics of Aras border river, its effect on the security of Ardabil province", Quarterly Journal of Geography of the Scientific Research Land, year 7, number 48, 389.(In Persian)
 Jan Prover, M, Abbasi, F, (2020) "Relationships between Iran and Turkey in terms of water resources", Quarterly Journal of Geography and Human Relations, Volume 3, Number 4. .(In Persian)
 Sadeghi, S, Sh (1997) "Hydropolitics and water crisis, future challenges in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf", Political Economic Information Journal, No. 115-116. .(In Persian)
 Araghchi, S, A (2013) "Water diplomacy from conflict to cooperation", World Politics Quarterly, Volume 3, Number 4. .(In Persian)
 Asgari, M (2008) "The New Relationship between Water Resources and Security", Strategic Studies Journal, No. 16. .(In Persian)
Qaim Maggi, Seyed Ali, (2016) "The water crisis and transboundary running waters of Turkey and national and environmental security in Iran", National Interest Studies Quarterly, year 2, number 7. .(In Persian)
  Kaviani-Rad, M (2017) "Sustainability of water crisis and expansion of climate resources in Iran", Dedeh Dehetsah Bank Melli publication, 77. .(In Persian)
Karmi, A, Hassanzadeh J, Pishgahi Fard, Z (2015) "Hydropolitical influence on the relations between Iraq and Turkey with emphasis on Tigris and Euphrates", Islamic World Political Studies Quarterly, year 5, number 17. .(In Persian)
Mokhtari Heshi, Hossein, (2012) "Hydropolitics of Iran, the geography of the water crisis on the horizon of 1404", Geopolitical Quarterly, year 9, number 3. .(In Persian)
Mian Abadi, H, Amini, A (2018) "The intertwining of water, politics, environment in the Tigris and Euphrates watershed", Geopolitics Quarterly, 2015, No. 2. .(In Persian)
Mir Ahmadi, F, (2017) "Water crisis in Iran, internal mismanagement and external aggravating factors", National Security Watch, No. 75. (In Persian)
 Navari, A (2018) "Operation of Ilisu Dam in Turkey and International Water Law Standards", Journal of Public Law Research, No. 6. .(In Persian)
 Farshtepour, M (2014) "Geopolitical challenges of international groundwater resources with an emphasis on Iran's common resources", Geopolitic Quarterly, year 11, number 3. .(In Persian)
Nashi, M, Gudarzi, M (2019) "Turkey's dam construction project poses security threats to West Asia and the Islamic Republic of Iran", Foreign Relations Journal, No. 45.(In Persian)
Joyce, R, Tabatabai, S (2012) "Water crisis is the basis of future conflicts in the Middle East", Journal of Political and Economic Information, No. 55-56 (In Persian) Fallah, R (2007) "Analysis of Erdogan's government's foreign policy in the form of neo-Ottomanism paradigm", Journal of Strategic Studies of the Islamic World, No. 36 .(In Persian)

 Afzali, R, Hosseini M (2007) "Research on the analysis of Turkey's geopolitical developments and its impact on Iran", Geopolitics Quarterly, Year 4, Number 7 (In Persian)
                                           
 Maleki, M, Vahid, B, Qitasi, H R (2016) "Geopolitical Challenges of Iran-Turkey Border", Border Science and Technology Quarterly, Year 8, Number 2. (In Persian)