بحرانهای اقتصادی و تنش زدایی در سیاست خارجی روسیه (1991-2025)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشکده ادبیات، دانشگاه لرستان، خرم آباد، ایران.

2 گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشکده ادبیات، دانشگاه لرستان، خرم آباد، ایران

چکیده

پس از دیدار تاریخی پوتین و ترامپ در آلاسکا، سیاست خارجی روسیه در قبال غرب، بیش از پیش توجه محافل علمی و دیپلماتیک را به خود جلب کرده است. مسئله مورد پژوهش این مقاله، بررسی رابطه میان بحران‌های اقتصادی در روسیه و سیاست تنش‌زدایی با غرب پس از جنگ سرد است. فرضیه مقاله این است که بین شدت بحرانهای اقتصادی و پیگیری تنش‌زدایی در سیاست خارجی روسیه پس از جنگ سرد، رابطه معناداری وجود دارد. بر اساس چارچوب فکری وابستگی متقابل و روش ردیابی فرایند، داده‌های اقتصادی نشان می‌دهد که بحران‌های اقتصادی روسیه مهمترین علت اتخاذ سیاست تنش‌زدایی در برابر غرب بوده است و تداوم این سیاست نیز منجر به بهبود شاخصهای اقتصادی در روسیه شده است. اما موفقیت این راهبرد وابسته به وجود زمینه‌های مطلوب بین‌المللی و کنترل عوامل تنش‌آفرین چون گسترش ناتو به سمت مرزهای روسیه و همچنین نقش‌آفرینی نهادها و سازمانهای بین‌المللی به عنوان تسهیل کننده تنش‌زدایی، است. مقالـه بـا تکیه بر چارچـوب نظــری وابســتگی متقابــل و روش ردیابی فرایند نگاشته شده و شیوه گردآوری داده‌ها به صورت کتابخانه‌ای و استفاده از منابع آماری معتبر بوده است.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Economic crises and de-escalation in Russian foreign policy(1991-2025)

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mohsen Bayat 1
  • Noshin Amiri 2
1 Assistant Professor of Internatinal Relations, Department of Political Science, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran
2 Department of Political Science, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran.
چکیده [English]

The Russian foreign policy towards the West, after the historical meeting between Putin and Trump in Alaska, has become an important issue in international diplomacy. The main issue of this article is to examine the correlation between economic crises in Russia and the policy of de-escalation toward the West . This study hypothesizes that there is a significant correlation between the severity of economic crises and the pursuit of de-escalation in Russian foreign policy after the Cold War. The economic data show that Russian economic crises have been the most important reason for adopting a policy of de-escalation toward the West, and the continuation of this policy has also led to the improvement of economic indicators in Russia. However, the effectiveness of this strategy is contingent upon favorable international contexts and the management of tension-inducing factors, including NATO's expansion towards Russia's borders, alongside the role of international institutions and organizations in facilitating de-escalation. This study was theoretically grounded on the framework of interdependence and employed the process tracing method. The data collection method included desk studies utilizing reliable statistical sources.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Economic crisis
  • de-escalation
  • Russia
  • Cold War
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